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News


smotus.substack.com > p > theres-widespread-election-fraud

“There’s widespread election fraud” = “Too many non-whites are voting”

1+ week, 4+ day ago   (181+ words) Donald Trump has been complaining about some form of election “fraud” or another throughout his political career. He’s specifically been fixated on the idea that mail-in ballots are inherently fraudulent. It might not appear so on the surface, but this…...


smotus.substack.com > p > how-local-progressive-candidates

How local progressive candidates helped statewide ones

2+ week ago   (435+ words) For this, I’m focusing on the Democratic primaries in Colorado this past June, although I would imagine a similar relationship can be found in other states. What I wanted to understand was whether local progressive candidates boosted progressive votes for…...


smotus.substack.com > p > beshear-as-the-electability-candidate

Beshear as the electability candidate?

3+ week, 44+ min ago   (424+ words) One previous version of the Beshear model was Governor Chris Christie, running for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016. A big part of his appeal was that he’d won repeatedly statewide in blue New Jersey. (Obama won by 18 points there in…...


smotus.substack.com > p > blue-wave-a-comin-maybe

Blue wave a-comin’? Maybe...

3+ week, 3+ day ago   (291+ words) Shane Goldmacher reported this in the New York Times back in October of 2022: Republicans are pressing their advantage deep into Democratic territory in the closing stretch of the 2022 campaign, competing for an abundance of House seats amid growing signs that…...